Talking pork
Information and opinions on pig feeding, care and well-being of pigs in the global market.
Surely one of the most revealing conversations at the EuroTier show in Germany must have been when the boss of a big international equipment company told me that his production capacity was struggling to keep up with the fast flow of new orders from pig-sector clients. The company was already outsourcing some of the products it supplied, but this aspect could not be increased significantly overnight because of the extra tooling and injection moulds required.
As with a number of other major equipment enterprises, this particular supplier has been more identified in the past with its sales to poultry units than its business with pig producers. For a long time such companies operated on the maxim that the profit on each poultry order easily exceeded the margin in a contract involving pig pens. The relative profitability has changed until both parts are about equal, I was told. Add this fact to the obvious international demand for projects to house and feed pigs and it should be clear why supply companies in the poultry sector now want to be big names in pig equipment worldwide.
At EuroTier, a typical remark by a company director was that the global business of supplying the houses, pens and fixtures for producing pigs had become the Number One growth area with particular help from the boom in sales to Russia and other parts of centre/east Europe. Several suppliers with interests in both sectors said they expected a 50/50 division of their sales between poultry and pigs in 2007 for the first time on record.
More signs at the show included the announcement by Chore-Time group CTB (owned by the Berkshire Hathaway investment arm of Wall Street legend Warren Buffet) that it is acquiring pig equipment companies to create a new swine division, tasked with matching its established activities in poultry and feed storage. According to group president/ceo Victor Mancinelli, some US$2 billion are spent annually worldwide on buying equipment for pigs.
Pigmeat group warns on product liability
EuroTier also brought a timely reminder from Paul Jansen, director of corporate public affairs for Dutch-German meat company Vion, that Europe's latest clutch of new legislation has included a general food law which took effect in 2006 although agreed as far back as 2002. One of its provisions requires all participants in the food chain to take responsibility for the product delivered, he noted. Being responsible means accepting product liability and consequential losses in case of a food safety incident.
The question therefore becomes whether pig-unit operators and their suppliers have arranged sufficient product liability insurance to cover this contingency. Mr Jansen said his company's conversations with farmers' organizations had shown that producers in European Union countries had failed to arrange enough liability insurance and even some feed suppliers were not covered adequately.
Everyone in Europe's pork chains from feed to pigmeat needs to be working together to meet the challenge laid down by the new food legislation, he declared. We should be improving our crisis management in view of the concerns over animal food safety; for example, by introducing the criteria that all the suppliers and buyers of a feed product can be determined within 4 hours of an incident occurring.
Russia raises its protein output
Expect to see animal husbandry in Russia continue to climb in its share of agriculture turnover, from 44% in 2005 and 47% in 2006. That was the message to a EuroTier meeting from a deputy agriculture minister in the Russian government. Sergey Mitin also pointed out that Russia currently stands at 9th in the world for pig production. The implication seemed to be that it intended moving higher quite soon.
The most headline-grabbing part of the speech, however, came when Mr Mitin also revealed an immediate target to double the area of land cultivated for rapeseed to convert into biodiesel. This has already increased from 250 000 hectares to 500 000 hectares in recent years, he remarked. Now the government wants to see one million hectares planted for the next harvest. Negotiations have started with European companies to obtain the seed and to arrange up-to-date oil processing facilities.
Biofuel takes up China's corn supply
All discussions of feed crop prospects globally have become dominated by the way in which grain resources are going into biofuels. Fuel generation is now regarded as a prime factor in the conflict between tightening supplies of grains and an extremely strong demand for them in many countries.
Watch out for the grain-to-biofuel debate to intensify in future as more effects on the world market availability of feed grains become apparent. China offers a case in point. Today a net exporter of maize, within just a few years China is expected to become a net importer because of its rapidly expanding corn processing industries.
When China's harvesting of maize was completed last year it produced an annual crop of 142 million tons, up by 2.6 million tons from 2005 and 17.8 million tons above the 5-year Chinese national average. Net cereal exporter status for both 2006 and 2007 was secured by an overall 2% increase in all-cereals production.
Net corn importer status would therefore represent a marked change for China. It exported 8.61 million tons of maize in 2005, although exports in the first 9 months of 2006 were down by more than 68% at only 2.3 million tons, whereas the January-September total for imported maize reached an unprecedented 60 000 tons. Officials in Beijing insist that the changeover from net exporter to net importer will not happen as soon as 2007 because local supplies still exceed requirements. However, they believe the gap will disappear soon afterwards as more grain enterprises build feed processing facilities in China's major corn-growing provinces to convert their maize into fuel ethanol and products for sugar and animal feed.
China is already the third-largest fuel ethanol producer after Brazil and the USA. Its ethanol production now consumes over 9 million tons of corn per year almost exactly the same amount as the quantity of maize exported only 2 years ago.
Feed prices promote world production of wheat
While cereal prices rise inter-nationally, the inclusion of grain in animal feed diets around the world is being forecast to drop in the 2006/07 harvest year. On estimations from the International Grains Council, for example, there will be a decline of about 1% in feed use of grain. It predicts a particularly sharp fall in the use of high-priced wheat. Feed manufacturers are expected to make more use of barley as well as of maize in the coming 12 months.
Global feed wheat usage is placed at 94.2 million metric tons, compared with 107.8 million tons the previous year. Other forecasts are 102.3 million tons for barley and 470 million tons for maize.
Observers of the current price hikes for feed grains on the world market are forecasting that it will promote considerably more land to be devoted to growing wheat over the coming year. They say this could compensate for a standstill in yields that has seen the wheat crop struggle to keep pace with rising demand. Figures vary for the precise levels of production and consumption in 2006, but the International Grains Council has calculated that around 585 million tons of wheat were produced globally last year and some 606 million tons consumed.
Meetings abound in a Chinese setting
Anyone wanting to visit an event in China related to pork production in 2007 will have a wide choice. A glance at the calendar we maintain of industry events in all countries finds quite a line-up of China-based conferences and exhibitions. Four examples illustrate the meetings on offer.
April 2007 sees the Chinese city of Wuhan acting as the venue for the 3rd Asian Pig Veterinary Society Congress. The capital city of Hubei province in central China, Wuhan stands on the banks of the mighty Yangtze River and is the home of one of the country's most prominent universities. Also in April, the 3rd agriChina agricultural exhibition returns to Beijing.
The next edition of the annual China Animal Husbandry Expo is set for Ningbo, Zhejiang province, in May 2007. Last year the expo took place in Dalian, northeast China, where more than 500 companies exhibited. It has been organized annually since 2003 by the China Animal Agriculture Association.
Then in September, the scene shifts to Nanjing in the Jiangsu province of eastern China and its hosting of a series of inter-related meetings centred on the World Pork Congress of 2007. This coincides not only with the 4th world conference of the International Meat Secretariat similarly taking place in Nanjing, but also with the 5th China International Meat Industry Exhibition and the 2nd China Meat Foodstuff Festival at the same venue.
Japan has less pork imports
Our focus this month on Asia ahead of the VIV Asia show in Thailand happens to coincide with a reminder from the FAO agrifood agency of the United Nations that one Asian country receives almost one-quarter of all the pigmeat traded globally each year. That country is Japan.
Such is Japan's position on the export-import scene for pork that its purchasing in 2006 was reckoned particularly influential in the international pressure on pigmeat prices last year. High stocks of pork in Japanese depots led to a considerable decline in pork import prices, said an FAO report.
More details have appeared sub-sequently. Japan started 2006 with extremely high opening stocks of 300 000 metric tons of frozen pork, according to the US department of agriculture. Economists at Britain's Meat and Livestock Commission noted that this volume represented around half of Japan's annual demand for raw pork and approximately 8 months' supply of imported pigmeat for processing.
Therefore it should have surprised no-one that Japanese imports of frozen pork dropped by nearly one-third during the first 10 months of 2006, to 416 700 tons, as the total of all pigmeat imported fell by 20% to 600 500 tons. By contrast, imports of chilled, boneless cuts were 10% higher at 182 250 tons because they were unaffected by the high storage volumes.